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Measles Risk

Estimating the number of children at risk for measles in North Carolina. Note that elementary schools are generally between kindergarten and 5th grade (6 total grades).

Vaccination Data

Data from NCDHHS were downloaded for each year from the following url

Data were then aggregated and manually cleaned to ensure that school names year over year were consistent. Note that there were some changes in naming convention (e.g., Elem vs Elementary), but these were addressed manually and programatically in the data-raw/vaccinations.R script.

County Designation Data

Rurality/non-rural designations were retrieved and saved in the data-raw/designations-county.xlsx file.

Model

The outbreak model was created and turned into an R package called measlesrisk (located in this directory as well). We ran the model over each county and elementary school with sufficient data as shown in the src/seir.R script. The data were run using the HPC with 20 cores and a limit of 14 hours. Estimates were saved in the data directory

Outputs were summarized into figures using the src/results-figures.R scripts.

Outputs

All outputs are available in either the data folder or the figures directory.

Disclaimers

No warranty, representation or guaranty of any type as to the content, accuracy, timeliness, completeness or fitness for any particular purpose or use of any published data, nor shall any such warranty be implied, including without limitation, the implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. Use at your own risk.

All research and clinical material published on this site is for informational purposes only and SHOULD NOT be relied upon as a substitute for sound professional medical advice, evaluation or care from your physician or other qualified health care provider. Wake Forest University School of Medicine and Advocate Health will not be liable for any direct, indirect, consequential, special, exemplary, or other damages arising therefrom.