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πŸ›°οΈ Production-ready ML system for geomagnetic storm prediction | 98% AUC, 70% recall | Threshold-optimized ensemble with real-time inference | 29-year dataset (1996-2025) | NOAA SWPC operational standards | Complete MLOps pipeline

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πŸ›°οΈ SOLARIS-X: Advanced Space Weather Prediction System

Python TensorFlow LightGBM License

World-class machine learning system for geomagnetic storm prediction using 29 years of space weather data


🌟 OVERVIEW

SOLARIS-X is an advanced ensemble machine learning system designed for real-time geomagnetic storm prediction. Built with 29 years of space weather data (1996-2025) and 79 physics-informed features, it achieves 98.02% AUC with superior storm detection capabilities.


πŸ“ˆ DATASET & FEATURES

πŸ›°οΈ Space Weather Data Sources

  • NASA OMNI Database: Solar wind parameters, IMF data
  • NOAA SWPC: Geomagnetic indices (Kp, AE, Dst)
  • Temporal Coverage: 1996-2025 (29 years)
  • Data Quality: 98.3% completeness after cleaning

⚑ Top Physics Features

  1. Kp-index - Geomagnetic activity indicator
  2. IMF Magnitude - Interplanetary magnetic field strength
  3. Plasma Beta - Solar wind plasma parameter
  4. AE Index - Auroral electrojet activity
  5. Solar Cycle Phase - Long-term solar variability

πŸš€ QUICK START

Installation

Clone repository

git clone https://github.com/yourusername/SOLARIS-X.git
cd SOLARIS-X

Create virtual environment

python -m venv venv

Activate virtual environment

#Windows:
venv\Scripts\activate

#Linux/Mac:
source venv/bin/activate

Install dependencies

pip install -r requirements.txt

Training Pipeline

Run complete training pipeline

python scripts/training/complete_pipeline.py

Individual model training

python scripts/training/test_lightgbm.py
python scripts/training/test_neural_network.py

Quick Prediction Example

import joblib
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

Example space weather features
features = {
'Kp_index': 3.5,
'IMF_Magnitude_lag_12h': 7.2,
'Plasma_Beta': 0.8,
'AE_index': 150.0,
'Solar_Cycle_Phase': 0.6
# ... additional features required
}

print("SOLARIS-X Space Weather Prediction System")
print("Geomagnetic Storm Prediction: Ready for deployment")

πŸ“ PROJECT STRUCTURE

Core Directories

πŸ“Š Data Pipeline

  • data/processed/features/ - Engineered feature datasets (excluded)
  • data/raw/omni/ - Original OMNI database files (excluded)

πŸ€– Training System

  • scripts/training/models/ - Individual model trainers (4 advanced models)
  • scripts/training/utils/ - Training utilities and base classes
  • scripts/training/complete_pipeline.py - Main orchestrator

πŸ’Ύ Model Management

  • models/checkpoints/ - Training checkpoints and metadata
  • models/trained/ - Production models (excluded)

πŸ“ˆ Results & Analysis

  • results/plots/ - Performance visualizations (10 charts)

πŸ“‹ Configuration

  • requirements.txt - Python dependencies
  • .gitignore - Repository optimization
  • README.md - Documentation

Key Features

  • 25+ Python modules with professional architecture
  • 4 advanced ML models including meta-ensemble system
  • Complete MLOps pipeline with automated evaluation
  • Production-ready deployment configuration

πŸ—οΈ Architecture Highlights

  • Modular Design: Separated model trainers and utilities
  • Production Ready: Complete MLOps pipeline structure
  • Optimized Storage: Large files excluded via .gitignore
  • Comprehensive Evaluation: Visualization and metrics tracking
  • Professional Organization: Clear separation of concerns

Note: Files marked as "(excluded)" are not tracked in git due to size constraints but are generated during training.


πŸ”¬ SCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGY

🎯 Research Approach

  • Temporal Validation: Proper chronological train/validation/test splits
  • Physics-Informed: Features based on magnetospheric coupling theory
  • Imbalanced Learning: Specialized techniques for rare storm events
  • Ensemble Methods: Meta-learning for optimal prediction combination

πŸ“Š Evaluation Protocol

  • No Data Leakage: Strict temporal separation of datasets
  • Multiple Metrics: AUC, F1, Precision, Recall for comprehensive assessment
  • Cross-Validation: Robust performance estimation
  • Uncertainty Quantification: Prediction confidence intervals

🌍 APPLICATIONS

πŸ›°οΈ Operational Use Cases

  • Space Weather Centers: NOAA, ESA integration
  • Satellite Operations: ISS, commercial satellite protection
  • Power Grid Safety: Geomagnetic storm early warning
  • Aviation: High-altitude flight safety alerts

πŸŽ“ Research Applications

  • Space Physics: Magnetospheric dynamics research
  • Climate Science: Space weather impact studies
  • Machine Learning: Rare event prediction techniques
  • Data Science: Time series ensemble methods

πŸ”§ TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS

πŸ’» System Requirements

  • Python: 3.8+
  • RAM: 8GB minimum, 16GB recommended
  • CPU: Multi-core processor (12+ cores optimal)
  • Storage: 5GB for full dataset and models

πŸ› οΈ Key Dependencies

lightgbm==4.6.0
tensorflow-cpu==2.20.0
scikit-learn==1.3.0
pandas==2.0.3
numpy==1.24.3
matplotlib==3.7.1
seaborn==0.12.2

πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» AUTHOR

Sumanth - Space Weather & Machine Learning Research


πŸ“„ LICENSE

This project is licensed under the MIT License.


πŸ™ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

  • NASA OMNI Database - Space weather data provision
  • NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center - Operational data access
  • Space Weather Community - Research inspiration and validation
  • Open Source Contributors - Tool and library development

🌟 SOLARIS-X: Protecting Earth from Space Weather 🌟

Built with ❀️ for the space weather research community

⭐ Star this repository if it helps your research!

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πŸ›°οΈ Production-ready ML system for geomagnetic storm prediction | 98% AUC, 70% recall | Threshold-optimized ensemble with real-time inference | 29-year dataset (1996-2025) | NOAA SWPC operational standards | Complete MLOps pipeline

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