Published Papers

Stern, L., Gudmundsson, H., & Sayag, R. (2025). Nonlinear regime of radially spreading extensional flows. Part 1. Newtonian fluids. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 1023. https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2025.10845

Rosier, S. H. R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Jenkins, A., & Naughten, K. A. (2025). Calibrated sea level contribution from the Amundsen Sea sector, West Antarctica, under RCP8.5 and Paris 2C scenarios. The Cryosphere, 19(7), 2527–2557. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2527-2025

Richter, O., Timmermann, R., Gudmundsson, G. H., & de Rydt, J. (2025). Coupling framework (1.0) for the Úa (2023b) ice sheet model and the FESOM-1.4 z-coordinate ocean model in an Antarctic domain. Geoscientific Model Development, 18(10), 2945–2960. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2945-2025

Parsons, R., Sun, S., Gudmundsson, G. H., Wuite, J., & Nagler, T. (2024). Quantifying the buttressing contribution of landfast sea ice and melange to Crane Glacier, Antarctic Peninsula. The Cryosphere, 18(12), 5789–5801. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5789-2024

Reed, B., Green, J. A. M., Jenkins, A., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2024). Melt sensitivity of irreversible retreat of Pine Island Glacier. The Cryosphere, 18 (10), 4567–4587. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4567-2024

Hill, E. A., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Chandler, D. M. (2024). Ocean warming as a trigger for irreversible retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02134-8

Morlighem, M., Goldberg, D., Barnes, J. M., Bassis, J. N., Benn, D. I., Crawford, A. J., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Seroussi, H. (2024). The West Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be vulnerable to marine ice cliff instability during the 21st century. Science Advances, 10(34), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.ado7794

Seroussi, H., Pelle, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Alvarez-Solas, J., Asay-Davis, X., Barre, J. B., Berends, C. J., Bernales, J., Blasco, J., Caillet, J., Chandler, D. M., Coulon, V., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Garbe, J., Gillet-Chaulet, F., … Zwinger, T. (2024). Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble. Earth’s Future, 12(9). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561

Cheng, G., Morlighem, M., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2024). Numerical stabilization methods for level-set-based ice front migration. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(16), 6227–6247. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6227-2024

De Rydt, J., & Naughten, K. (2024). Geometric amplification and suppression of ice-shelf basal melt in West Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 18(4), 1863–1888. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1863-2024

Carr, J. R., Hill, E. A., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2024). Sensitivity to forecast surface mass balance outweighs sensitivity to basal sliding descriptions for 21st century mass loss from three major Greenland outlet glaciers. Cryosphere, 18(6), 2719–2737. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2719-2024

Gerli, C., Rosier, S., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Sun, S. (2024). Weak relationship between remotely detected crevasses and inferred ice rheological parameters on Antarctic ice shelves. Cryosphere, 18(6), 2677–2689. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2677-2024

Reed, B., Green, J. A. M., Jenkins, A., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2024). Recent irreversible retreat phase of Pine Island Glacier. Nature Climate Change, 14(1), 75–81. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01887-y

Sun, S., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2023). The speedup of Pine Island Ice Shelf between 2017 and 2020: revaluating the importance of ice damage. Journal of Glaciology, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.76

Naughten, K. A., Holland, P. R., & De Rydt, J. (2023). Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x

Gudmundsson, G. H., Barnes, J. M., Goldberg, D. N., & Morlighem, M. (2023). Limited Impact of Thwaites Ice Shelf on Future Ice Loss From Geophysical Research Letters. 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102880

Hill, E. A., Urruty, B., Reese, R., Garbe, J., Gagliardini, O., Durand, G., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gudmundsson, G. H., Winkelmann, R., Chekki, M., Chandler, D., & Langebroek, P. M. (2023). The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry. The Cryosphere, 17(9), 3739–3759. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3739-2023

Reese, R., Garbe, J., Hill, E. A., Urruty, B., Naughten, K. A., Gagliardini, O., Durand, G., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gudmundsson, G. H., Chandler, D., Langebroek, P. M., & Winkelmann, R. (2023). The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded. The Cryosphere, 17(9), 3761–3783. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023

Gerli, C., Rosier, S., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2023). Activation of Existing Surface Crevasses Has Limited Impact on Grounding Line Flux of Antarctic Ice Streams. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(6). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101687

Jordan, J. R., Miles, B. W. J., Gudmundsson, G. H., Jamieson, S. S. R., Jenkins, A., & Stokes, C. R. (2023). Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years. Nature Communications, 14(1), 1825. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37553-2

Schelpe, C. A. O., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2023). Incorporating Horizontal Density Variations Into Large‐Scale Modeling of Ice Masses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 128(2), 1–39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JF006744

Barnes, J. M., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2022). The predictive power of ice sheet models and the regional sensitivity of ice loss to basal sliding parameterisations: a case study of Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers, West Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 16(10), 4291–4304. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4291-2022

Mitcham, T., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2022). On the validity of the stress-flow angle as a metric for ice-shelf stability. Journal of Glaciology, 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.25

Jordan, J. R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Jenkins, A., Stokes, C. R., Miles, B. W. J., & Jamieson, S. S. R. (2022). The sensitivity of Cook Glacier, East Antarctica, to changes in ice-shelf extent and grounding-line position. Journal of Glaciology, 68(269), 473–485. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2021.106

Mitcham, T., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Bamber, J. L. (2022). The instantaneous impact of calving and thinning on the Larsen C Ice Shelf. The Cryosphere, 16(3), 883–901. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-883-2022

Santos, T. D., Barnes, J. M., Goldberg, D. N., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Morlighem, M. (2021). Drivers of change of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, between 1995 and 2015. Geophysical Research Letters, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093102

Hill, E. A., Rosier, S. H. R., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Collins, M. (2021). Quantifying the potential future contribution to global mean sea level from the Filchner–Ronne basin, Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 15(10), 4675–4702. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4675-2021

Barnes, J. M., Dias dos Santos, T., Goldberg, D., Gudmundsson, G. H., Morlighem, M., & De Rydt, J. (2021). The transferability of adjoint inversion products between different ice flow models. The Cryosphere, 15(4), 1975–2000. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1975-2021

Jones, R. S., Gudmundsson, G. H., Mackintosh, A. N., McCormack, F. S., & Whitmore, R. J. (2021). Ocean‐Driven and Topography‐Controlled Nonlinear Glacier Retreat During the Holocene: Southwestern Ross Sea, Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(5), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091454

De Rydt, J., Reese, R., Paolo, F. S., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2021). Drivers of Pine Island Glacier speed-up between 1996 and 2016. The Cryosphere, 15(1), 113–132. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-113-2021

Ranganathan, M., Minchew, B., Meyer, C. R., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2021). A new approach to inferring basal drag and ice rheology in ice streams, with applications to West Antarctic Ice Streams. Journal of Glaciology, 67(262), 229–242. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2020.95

Rosier, S. H. R., Reese, R., Donges, J. F., De Rydt, J., Gudmundsson, G. H., & Winkelmann, R. (2021). The tipping points and early warning indicators for Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 15(3), 1501–1516. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1501-2021

Cornford, S. L., Seroussi, H., Asay-Davis, X. S., Gudmundsson, G. H., Arthern, R., Borstad, C., Christmann, J., Dias dos Santos, T., Feldmann, J., Goldberg, D., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Kleiner, T., Leguy, G., Lipscomb, W. H., Merino, N., Durand, G., Morlighem, M., Pollard, D., … Yu, H. (2020). Results of the third Marine Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (MISMIP+). The Cryosphere, 14(7), 2283–2301. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2283-2020

Hill, E. A., Gudmundsson, G. H., Carr, J. R., Stokes, C. R., & King, H. M. (2020). Twenty-first century response of Petermann Glacier, northwest Greenland to ice shelf loss. Journal of Glaciology, 67(261), 147–157. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2020.97

Gudmundsson, G. H., Paolo, F. S., Adusumilli, S., & Fricker, H. A. (2019). Instantaneous Antarctic ice sheet mass loss driven by thinning ice shelves. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(23), 13903–13909. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085027

De Rydt, J., Gudmundsson, G. H., Nagler, T., & Wuite, J. (2019). Calving cycle of the Brunt Ice Shelf, Antarctica, driven by changes in ice shelf geometry. The Cryosphere, 13(10), 2771–2787. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-2771-2019

Reese, R., Winkelmann, R., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2018). Grounding-line flux formula applied as a flux condition in numerical simulations fails for buttressed Antarctic ice streams. The Cryosphere, 12(10), 3229–3242. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3229-2018

Minchew, B. M., Gudmundsson, G. H., Gardner, A. S., Paolo, F. S., & Fricker, H. A. (2018). Modeling the dynamic response of outlet glaciers to observed ice-shelf thinning in the Bellingshausen Sea Sector, West Antarctica. Journal of Glaciology, 64(244), 333–342. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2018.24

Reese, R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Levermann, A., & Winkelmann, R. (2018). The far reach of ice-shelf thinning in Antarctica. Nature Climate Change, 8(1), 53–57. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0020-x

Royston, S., & Gudmundsson, G. H. (2016). Changes in ice-shelf buttressing following the collapse of Larsen A Ice Shelf, Antarctica, and the resulting impact on tributaries. Journal of Glaciology, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2016.77

De Rydt, J., Gudmundsson, G. H., Rott, H., & Bamber, J. L. (2015). Modeling the instantaneous response of glaciers after the collapse of the Larsen B Ice Shelf. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(13), 5355–5363. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064355

Favier, L., Durand, G., Cornford, S. L., Gudmundsson, G. H., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Zwinger, T., Payne, A. J., & Le Brocq, a. M. (2014). Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability. Nature Climate Change, 4(2), 117–121. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2094

Gudmundsson, G. H. (2013). Ice-shelf buttressing and the stability of marine ice sheets. The Cryosphere, 7(2), 647–655. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-647-2013

Gudmundsson, G. H., Krug, J., Durand, G., Favier, L., & Gagliardini, O. (2012). The stability of grounding lines on retrograde slopes. Cryosphere, 6(6), 1497–1505. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-1497-2012