Step 1: Forecast state transition probabilities from the historical set: Run "Forecast Transition Probabilities" on historical_transition_probabilities.csv -> forcasted_transition_probabilities_0.15.xlsx
Step 2: Generate the annual permits forecast based on the current state and forecasted state transition probabilities: Run "Forecast Annual Permits" on forcasted_transition_probabilities_0.15.xlsx
historical transition probabilities
Find peaks and throughs in housing data
Plot custom vs all homes inclusing spec homes
Kaplan Meier estimates of median tenure and critical years
Rolling averages in tenure trends
Kruskal-Wallis and Mann-Whitney tests